Friday, August 29, 2008

History: A Continuation

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Continuing from my previous blog, how did I fair in the market as a trader today, after the market has adopted to the tight spreads and no commission trading environment? I made money, that is my humble answer. Is it a lot? Is it that simple? Some may ask, but the answer is no. It was never easy.

Simply, what is the difference between trading on the current environment versus an environment that requires you to make back wide spreads and huge commissions from the market? Well, in my opinion, the difference is just that other than being able to allow you to exit at a price that could end you up with lesser losses, if not it will end you up with a small profit. But if you relook at it again, do you think the market has also became less trendy over the years?

If time allow, it would be excellent if you could take a close look at the Average Daily Range data on some of your favourite currency pair that you trade on frequently. You will discover that right after when trading became more electronic and as trading commissions begun to slide, markets have also begun to stay in ranges more than it trends.

Looking closer again, with all the technological innovations and the ease of access to data, market participants are now more able to react to announcements and news than they used to be 10 years ago. So if you observe your charts closely, you will discover that the markets are trading sideways more frequently than they were trending.

So in order for ourselves to be successful in trading, what is the most appropriate approach for us to adopt?

Friday, August 22, 2008

History: The Beginning

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I hope this journal will be an inspiration to some, and hopefully a lesson for me to learn from as well.

Just a little to introduction about myself, I've been trading since 1996, right after my GCE 'N" Levels, in a pretty renowned bucket shop back then. I had witnessed MAS moving in to intervene on the sales of margin FX products to the retail customer by private entities in 1998, if I remember that clearly, followed by further regulation in the US and London commodities markets in 2000.

The forex trading business back in the 90s was also as lucrative as what it is today, but the product offering is so much different from the days back then. We had 10 pips spreads, daily average move for GBP/USD could be 180 to 200 pips, if moves went huge enough, it could even move up to 400 plus pips a day. Terminals such as Bloomberg, KnightRidder and MMS were share among 20 plus people on the floor, and it gets really exciting when the market moves (especially in your favour, hee...), even when we were charged a commission of about US$50 to $80 per round turn, it was already considered as premium commission rate. So just imagine the difference between the past's versus today's trading environment.

Most importantly, despite having witnessed such a difference in trading spreads, and from having trading commissions to having no trading commissions, how did I fair in the market?

Heh... Let me get back tomorrow for more details mates.

Cheers
 

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