Saturday, September 27, 2008

Analysis: Volatility Increased As Market Waits


As the trading day ends for the week in a few hours, the world anticipates for news on Paulson and the members of the Treasury to disclose details on the bailout plan. The current market's  sentiment, judging from how equity indices are performing (volatile), indicate that market participants are running dry on patience, as they begin to doubt whether anything would be passed to restore liquidity in the markets, and save the sinking boat. 

In my opinion, restoring liquidity may not save all the firms from failing, but it is likely to calm the markets as well as those OTC derivatives creators who are still writing credit default derivatives.

Monday's market open would likely be another interesting one, as the markets will likely begin to discount the outcome, as it may no longer matter if the Bill is passed or not. Here is a short article of an enthusiastic party to this bailout plan:

UK banks hold 95 bln pounds of sour assets that could qualify for US bailout plan - Times of London

Times of London reports Britain's five leading high street banks have as much as 95.3 bln pounds ($175 bln) of distressed assets on their books that may qualify for the American bailout scheme. If the British banks tap the rescue fund being set up by the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve to the maximum, they could secure one quarter of the $700 billion being made available. Under the terms of an outline agreement that appeared to have been reached by US policymakers last night, Britain's lenders will be able to use the facility... According to analysts' estimates, and the banks' own recent filings, HSBC (HBC) has as much as 45 bln pounds in structured mortgage debt and other soured assets sitting on its balance sheet that it might look to exchange with the Fed under the plan. Next are Barclays (BCS), with 17.4 bln pounds; Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), with 16.2 bln pounds; and HBOS, the UK's largest mortgage bank, with 13.3 bln pounds, analysts said yesterday. Lloyds TSB (LYG) follows some way behind in its exposure to the troubled mortgage securities, with assets of about 3.4 bln pounds.



Let's look forward to next week, where the Chinese exchanges will get an entire week's holiday for their national day. And I will be looking forward to this weekend's F1 in Singapore. Have a Great Weekend! 


comments

0 Responses to "Analysis: Volatility Increased As Market Waits"

Post a Comment

 

Copyright 2009 All Rights Reserved Revolution Two Church theme by Brian Gardner | Blogger template converted & enhanced by eBlog Templates